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Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong top-line with profitability: Revenue grew 73% YoY to $544.8M; GAAP net income was $42.5M (8% margin) and Adjusted EBITDA was $82.2M (15% margin) .
- Mixed vs estimates: Revenue was slightly below S&P Global consensus ($544.8M actual vs $552.0M consensus*), while Primary EPS beat materially ($0.289 vs $0.165 consensus*) as operating leverage and lower marketing intensity offset GLP‑1 headwinds. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Guidance: Company introduced Q3 guide ($570–$590M revenue; $60–$70M Adj. EBITDA, 11–12% margin) and reaffirmed FY25 ($2.3–$2.4B revenue; $295–$335M Adj. EBITDA, 13–14% margin) .
- Key narrative drivers: Transition away from commercially available GLP‑1 dosages and shorter shipment cadence pressured in-quarter recognition, but strong momentum in oral weight loss, dermatology, and daily sexual health supported margins; management reaffirmed at least $725M weight loss revenue for FY25 and expects ZAVA to add ≥$50M in 2H25 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- EPS and profitability: “Adjusted EBITDA…more than doubled relative to the prior year” ($82.2M vs $39.3M) with 15% margin, aided by marketing leverage and mix away from GLP‑1 .
- Personalization scaling: Subscribers reached 2.44M (+31% YoY) and monthly online revenue per average subscriber was $74 (+30% YoY), reflecting “robust growth in Subscribers utilizing personalized treatment plans” .
- Strategic expansion: Reiterated FY outlook; Q3 guide introduced; international expansion via ZAVA (≥$50M for remainder of 2025) and lab testing to underpin hormone health and future longevity offerings .
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What Went Wrong
- Revenue vs Street and sequential dynamics: Revenue came in below S&P consensus ($544.8M vs $552.0M*); sequential revenue declined vs Q1 ($586.0M) as the company offboarded GLP‑1 subscribers on commercially available dosages and shifted cadence . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Gross margin compression: Gross margin fell ~500 bps YoY to 76% on higher weight loss mix, partly offset by scale and provider efficiency gains .
- Cash flow dip: Free Cash Flow turned to $(69.4)M (from $47.6M a year ago) and operating cash flow was $(19.1)M, driven by temporary working capital investments and higher capex to automate and expand pharmacy infrastructure; management expects normalization in 2H25 .
Financial Results
QTD P&L and margins (oldest → newest)
Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus
Note: S&P “Primary EPS” and “EBITDA” may not be directly comparable to company-reported diluted EPS and Adjusted EBITDA; values with asterisks are from S&P Global.
Segment revenue (oldest → newest)
Key KPIs (oldest → newest)
Cash, debt, and cash flow (Q2 2025)
- Cash & equivalents: $1,124.6M; short-term investments: $20.0M .
- Convertible senior notes (net): $969.5M ; May 0.00% converts due 2030 priced at $870M to fund AI, diagnostics, international expansion (capped calls executed) .
- Operating cash flow $(19.1)M; Free Cash Flow $(69.4)M .
Guidance Changes
Additional management targets/assumptions:
- Weight loss specialty revenue of at least $725M in FY25; ZAVA to contribute ≥$50M in 2H25 .
- Q2 result landed within Q2 guidance issued on May 5 ($530–$550M revenue; $65–$75M Adj. EBITDA) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “It’s never been more clear that we are delivering exactly what millions of people have been waiting for: access to personalized, high-quality care that meets people where they are.”
- CFO: “Revenue grew 73% and Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled relative to the prior year; both were driven by robust growth in Subscribers utilizing personalized treatment plans.”
- CEO on outcomes: Customers on a GLP‑1 personalized plan for 6 months “reported losing on average 10.3% of their body weight… [and] only 25%…had discontinued” .
- CTO: “We will…build AI powered personalized agents that are always on…to ensure continuous engagement and increase the likelihood of reaching a positive outcome.”
Q&A Highlights
- GLP‑1 trajectory and recognition: Offboarding commercially available dosages created a step-down; remaining weight loss offerings (oral and personalized GLP‑1) expected to grow; shorter duration shipments lower revenue per order but increase frequency, supporting a Q4 acceleration .
- Canada launch and pricing: Will operate under Hims & Hers brands; expected consumer price for generic semaglutide ~$75–$100 vs branded $200–$400, expanding access; no cross-border shipments to the U.S. .
- Marketing efficiency and payback: Elevated 2H investment with disciplined payback “well below a one year period”; reinforcement as new specialties/geographies scale .
- Inventory/supply chain: Inventory build was deliberate for new launches and to mitigate tariff/supply risks; not expected to be a recurring step-up each quarter .
- AI deployment timeline: Expect tangible efficiency and engagement improvements in 3–6 months through agent-centric model .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 revenue: $544.8M actual vs $552.0M S&P Global consensus* (slight miss). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q2 2025 Primary EPS: $0.289 actual vs $0.165 consensus* (beat). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Note: S&P Global “EBITDA” is not directly comparable to company-reported Adjusted EBITDA; company reported $82.2M Adjusted EBITDA. S&P Global shows EBITDA actual of $37.2M vs $72.2M consensus*, suggesting definitional differences. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mixed headline vs Street: modest revenue shortfall vs S&P consensus but strong EPS beat on operating leverage and disciplined marketing .
- Sequential dip explained: GLP‑1 offboarding and shipment cadence change pressured in-quarter recognition; management guides to a Q4 re-acceleration .
- FY guide intact with new Q3 guide: Reaffirmed $2.3–$2.4B revenue and $295–$335M Adj. EBITDA; Q3 guide points to sequential growth ($570–$590M) .
- Strategic investments: Elevated 2H marketing and technology spend to scale AI agents, lab testing, hormone health; expect sub‑1 year payback to sustain marketing leverage over time .
- Weight loss still a pillar: At least $725M FY25 weight loss revenue reiterated; ZAVA expected to contribute ≥$50M in 2H25 .
- Cash and flexibility: $1.12B cash and recent 0.00% converts provide ample firepower for capabilities and international expansion; temporary working capital drag expected to normalize .
- Watch items: Gross margin mix as weight loss evolves; regulatory posture around compounded GLP‑1s; execution on lab testing and hormone launches; progress on AI-enabled engagement .
Footnote: Asterisked values are from S&P Global consensus/actuals feeds. Values retrieved from S&P Global.